The Toronto Raptors travel to Oklahoma City on January 25, 2026 to take on the Thunder in a game that has real weight for both teams. Oklahoma City enters with the league’s best record at 37-9, while Toronto is 28-19 and looking to strengthen its position in the playoff race.For the Raptors, this game is an opportunity to measure themselves against one of the most consistent teams in the NBA. For the Thunder, it’s about maintaining momentum despite several key injuries. With both teams dealing with lineup questions, the matchup appears more open than the records suggest.
Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury and squad impact update (January 25, 2026)
Toronto Raptors list three players as questionable. Gradey Dick is dealing with an ankle issue, Immanuel Quickley is on the rest list and Scottie Barnes remains under knee care. Barnes’ availability is most important, as he drives much of Toronto’s offense and rebounding.The injury situation in Oklahoma City is more serious. Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein and Kenrich Williams are out, limiting rotation depth. That puts even more pressure on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to carry the offense on both scoring and playmaking nights.
Head-to-head results between Toronto Raptors and Oklahoma City Thunder
Historically, Oklahoma City has controlled this matchup. The Thunder have a 36-21 all-time record against Toronto and have won the last four meetings. In the last 20 games between the teams, Oklahoma City has gone 13-7, including strong results at home.
| Season | Raptors vs OKC record | Home | Far |
| all times | 21-36 | 11-17 | 10-19 |
| 2024-25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022-23 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
Equipment numbers that matter
Oklahoma City leads the NBA in scoring defense, allowing just 104.8 points per game, while also ranking near the top offensively. Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.5 points and Chet Holmgren anchors the interior with strong rebounding and rim protection.Toronto relies more on balance. Barnes averages 22.1 points and 8.5 rebounds, and Quickley adds 18.7 points. The Raptors shoot well from three but allow more points on the road, which could be a problem against Oklahoma City’s transition game.
| Statistics Category | Thunder Rank | Raptor range |
| PPG | 118.2 (3rd) | 114.5 (9th) |
| Opposite PPG | 104.8 (1st) | 110.2 (12th) |
| role play | 45.1 (5th) | 43.8 (10th) |
| 3PT% | 37.2% (8th) | 36.8% (11th) |
What will decide the game?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s ability to control the pace and attack Toronto’s guards is the main factor. Holmgren’s shot blocking also challenges Barnes around the rim. For Toronto, outside shooting and bench scoring, especially from Dick if available, could change the game.
Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Oklahoma City’s defense and home record give them the advantage, with a projected 115-108 win. Still, if Toronto gets healthier minutes from its starters and shoots well from deep, an upset isn’t out of reach.