
The cold is gradually subsiding in UP. The cold is felt only in the morning and at night. During the day there is intense sunlight. However, the weather will worsen again in the state. The Meteorological Department has issued a 2-day rain alert in the state. Not only this, the temperature is expected to drop due to snowfall in the mountains.
Meanwhile, Agra has broken the 23-year-old summer record in the state. The temperature here has reached 32.2 degrees Celsius. Meteorologist Atul Kumar Singh said: In Agra, the temperature had risen to 32.1°C in 2003.
Lucknow Meteorological Center scientist Atul Singh said:
The Western Disturbance is activating again. This may lead to rain in some parts of the state on February 18 and 19. Winds will also blow at a speed of 30 to 40 kilometers per hour.

Rain will damage crops If it rains with strong winds, the wheat and mustard crops may fail. This will weaken the grains and affect yield. Therefore, the meteorological department has asked farmers to remain alert and has advised against keeping harvested crops in open spaces.
How has the weather been so far? Mahesh Palawat, climate expert at Noida-based Skymet, says, UP experienced less cold this time compared to 2 years. The average maximum and minimum temperatures in December-January remained above normal. A 36 percent decrease was observed between January 1 and February 11. This time no extreme cold was observed. Because La Niña was not active, it couldn’t get very cold.
Mohammad Danish, a scientist at the Lucknow Meteorological Centre, also says that this time the western disturbance activity was less during the winter season in the state. This resulted in below-normal rainfall during the cold season.
Professor Manoj Srivastava, meteorological scientist at BHU, says: Now the cold is in its final phase. The temperature will gradually increase in the coming days. The spring season is currently underway. There will be no major changes in the weather for the next 2-3 weeks. During this time, mornings and evenings will remain slightly cool, while the afternoon sun will feel somewhat intense.
According to meteorology expert Mahesh Palawat, light drizzle may be seen in many districts of UP around February 18. This includes areas like Hathras, Mathura, Prayagraj, Varanasi, Banda, Lalitpur and Jhansi.
Now read when intense heat will occur and to what extent the high temperatures will reach.
1- Heat wave begins from the first week of March BHU meteorologist Manoj Srivastava says the weather will start changing completely from the first week of March and the heat wave period will begin. The temperature will increase rapidly both day and night. In the last week of March, maximum temperatures in many districts of UP could reach 35 to 38 degrees Celsius.
2- The temperature will reach 42 to 45 degrees in May-June Manoj Srivastava says: In April the temperature will probably remain around 40 degrees Celsius. In May-June, the maximum temperature in many areas could reach between 42 and 45 degrees. This means that not only during the day, but even at night there will be less relief from the heat and humidity will persist.
However, this will largely depend on El Niño conditions. If El Niño conditions persist or intensify, the heat situation could become even more severe.
3- The heat wave will last longer Maximum and minimum temperatures will remain above normal during March to May across the country, including UP. Only in March are maximum and minimum temperatures likely to remain above normal across the country.
In addition, the number of heat wave days will also be higher than normal. Heat wave days will remain normal only in northeast India and peninsular states like Maharashtra, Karnataka, Kerala, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh.
4- Crops will be damaged by heat Professor PK Singh of BHU Agriculture Department says the month of March could prove to be challenging for farmers. The rise in temperature will affect the Rabi crop. Especially wheat. Due to the heat, the kernels will not fully develop. This will result in lower performance.
According to PK Singh, hot winds can also damage crops like mustard, chickpeas and peas. Due to rising temperatures, the soil in the fields dries out quickly. This increases irrigation costs. Crops face stress.
5- Early onset of heat, conditions will worsen even more According to Dhruvsen Singh, head of the Department of Geology at Lucknow University, heat increased earlier than usual in 2026. Heat waves may occur more frequently and for longer periods of time. Conditions could become more severe in urban areas due to the urban heat island effect. All of these factors combined are continually raising temperatures.
125-year-old record broken in February 2025 After 1901, it was in February 2025 for the first time that the average minimum temperature remained above 15 degrees Celsius. The year 1901 is when temperature records began to be maintained around the world, including India.
On the other hand, January 2025 was the third warmest month since 1901. According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), 2024 was the hottest year on record. The average temperature of the Earth increased by 1.55 degrees Celsius that year.
Intense heat will also affect everyone
According to a report by Environment and Climate Data UK, 2026 could be among the 4 hottest years ever recorded globally. It is estimated that the global average temperature could be between 1.4 and 1.5 degrees Celsius higher compared to historical times.
This clearly indicates that the pace of climate change has not yet slowed down. Experts say the continued rise in greenhouse gases and natural causes like El Niño are raising Earth’s temperature. This is directly affecting people’s health, agriculture and daily lives.
Now learn about La Niña and El Niño.
The Girl: La Niña is a weather pattern that affects weather around the world. In this pattern, ocean water becomes colder than normal. When this water rises as vapor, clouds form. It rains in many places. Whether India receives less or more rain, whether it experiences cold or heat depends largely on La Niña.
In 2025, before winter began, the Meteorological Department had predicted that La Niña could activate. This was expected to bring more cold weather to northern India. However, La Niña conditions did not develop in the Pacific Ocean. Therefore, there was no significant increase in cold weather.
At the beginning of the winter season, the US meteorological agency NOAA had also said that there was about a 60 percent chance that La Niña would be active during the winter. Its effects were expected to be visible until March, but this did not happen.
The Child- Whether El Niño or La Niña, both geographic phenomena occur in the world’s largest ocean, the Pacific Ocean. Every time El Niño occurs, the monsoon in India weakens. This causes drought in many states of the country. However, so far meteorologists have only expressed concern about El Niño. They say if such conditions develop, the country could experience severe heat.
