Today’s best tennis bets: Mutua Madrid Open selections for Thursday, April 23 & more related news here

The 2026 Mutua Madrid Open is underway at the Caja Mágica in Madrid, Spain, and the clay court season only heats up from here. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis bets for Madrid, delving into matchup tactics, surface trends and current form to find the best advantages on the board. Whether you’re betting on the money line, side of play, side of set or total, our best Mutua Madrd Open 2026 bets are designed to help you turn a profit. Below are some of my favorite plays from Thursday, April 23, but be sure to also monitor the picks page throughout the day. I usually have a few more picks in there, plus I occasionally add plays based on how the lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander makes her best bets.

RELATED: Check out our Pro Picks page for picks from all of our talented VSiN hosts, analysts, and guests!

Grigor Dimitrov against Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

This has been a brutal season for Dimitrov, as he is 2-8 since the beginning of the year. Dimitrov also comes into this match having lost three matches in a row, and seven of his last eight. The Bulgarian has now fallen to 137th in the ATP rankings, which is crazy for a former World No. 3. The 34-year-old also has a tough opening matchup as Daniel Vallejo feels very comfortable on clay. In fact, Daniel Vallejo has already won two matches this tournament, managing to overcome qualification to reserve his place in the main draw.

Despite all that, I’m treating this as a discount for one of the top 15 players in the sport. Dimitrov didn’t suddenly forget how to play tennis. He’s simply trying to find some solace on the court after dealing with serious injuries in recent years. But you know what? The fact that Dimitrov hasn’t had to deal with any significant pain recently is a win. As long as he can stay on the court, he should break through and find his game again. Why can’t you do it here?

Dimitrov is a much better server than Daniel Vallejo, and that should be important on these courts. Dimitrov’s sliced ​​backhand is also an important weapon on lower-bouncing surfaces, and that should give him a good shot in rallies here. I also think that a fit Dimitrov would dominate a match like this with his forehand. That said, if the Bulgarian shows up in good form, I think he will find a way to get through.

Bet: Dimitrov ML (-106 – 1.5 units)

Alycia Parks vs. Ann Li

Parks is one of the most up-and-down players on the WTA Tour right now, but it’s hard to dismiss her with odds of bigger money here. Parks is coming off a solid run in Stuttgart, where she reached the round of 16 and put up a good fight against Mirra Andreeva. The American has also won three matches in Madrid, winning in straight sets over Elina Avanesyan and Ksenia Efremova in qualifying. She then earned another straight sets victory over Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the first round.

The victory over Cocciaretto is hard to ignore as Parks prepares to face Li. Cocciaretto is a player who has a high tolerance for rallying, so the fact that Parks finds a way to overcome her should mean good things when looking at this round of 16 match. Parks has a booming serve and plenty of power from the baseline. However, staying strong and avoiding costly mistakes can be a problem for her. Well, with Parks managing everything well right now, I see no reason why he can’t beat Li in favorable server conditions. This is an on-air match, which is not reflected in the odds.

Bet: Parques ML (+119)

Camila Osorio vs. Naomi Osaka

Osaka beat Osorio in a three-set match in Indian Wells, earning a 6-1, 3-6, 6-1 victory in the desert. However, while those aren’t the easiest hard court conditions in the world, they are still hard courts. Well, Osaka is 182-89 on hard courts in her career. Meanwhile, he is 29-29 on clay. That said, we’re about to see Osaka at her worst surface, while we’re about to see Osorio at her best surface.

Osorio is a ridiculous 54-24 on clay in his career, so he is truly elite when competing on dirt. And while this is a more server-friendly clay court tournament than most, Osorio should have an advantage in most of the longer rallies here. Plus, the fact that these conditions are server-friendly might help her hold on a little easier than when these two faced off at the BNP Paribas Open.

Osorio also beat Osaka in Indian Wells last year, winning 6-4, 6-4 in the first round. I say this to say that this has been a competitive matchup over the last few years, and I can see things leaning towards the Colombian on red clay.

Bet: Osorio ML (+100 – 1.5 units)

NOTE: While only three picks are written here, I usually have more on the Pro Picks page. I try to select the plays I write based on the popularity of the players. Some of the picks on the Pro Picks page are more confident picks.

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